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For five months, the working assumption across the industry has been that the Strait of Hormuz crisis, however severe, was a single-chokepoint problem with a single-chokepoint solution. Cargo could move west. Saudi crude could reach the Red Sea overland and load at Yanbu. The Cape route was expensive and slow but it existed. Every contingency plan drafted since February rested on the premise that one door was closed and another remained open. As of last Monday, that premise n

There are weeks in the shipping calendar that change how the industry thinks about risk. This is one of them. In the space of seventy-two hours, the world's two most strategically significant maritime conflict zones, Hormuz and the Black Sea, both escalated sharply, independently, simultaneously, and with consequences that are still unfolding as of today, July 20, 2026. In the Persian Gulf, the ceasefire framework that briefly stabilized the Strait of Hormuz in June has colla

In normal market conditions, demurrage disputes are a routine feature of the shipping industry; frustrating, often contentious, but generally predictable in their mechanics. In a market shaped by the kind of disruption we are currently seeing in the Persian Gulf, with vessels stranded, ports congested, and voyage timelines collapsing, demurrage claims are going to multiply in volume and complexity at a rate the industry has not seen in decades. What Demurrage Actually Is Demu

There are moments in maritime history that redefine how the industry operates, sometimes just for a season, sometimes for years. We are living through one of them right now. As of today, March 26, 2026, the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow passage between Iran and Oman through which roughly 20 percent of the world's seaborne oil and global LNG once flowed freely, is effectively closed to commercial shipping. This post is an attempt to lay out what happened, where things stand, an